The release of the M2a Mega Dream ex set has collectors buzzing, and thanks to a recent two-case analysis, we now have a clearer picture of what to expect from the pull rates. This data-driven look reveals some surprising guarantees and sheds light on the distribution of highly sought-after cards.
The Guaranteed Hits: A Collector’s Dream
The most significant finding from the analysis is the guaranteed presence of several key card types in every box. Across both Case 1 and Case 2 (totaling 40 boxes), the data shows a 100% probability for:
- Items SR (Secret Rare): Every box is certain to contain an Item Secret Rare.
- MA (Mega Attack): The Master Art cards are also a guaranteed pull in every box.
- AR (Art Rare): Art Rares are the most common hit, with a 100% pull rate, averaging 3 per box.
This high rate of guaranteed hits makes opening a box of M2a Mega Dream ex a consistently rewarding experience.
The Special Art Rares (SAR) and Secret Rares (SR)
While the Item SRs are guaranteed, the distribution of the highly coveted Special Art Rares (SAR) and other Secret Rares (SR) is more varied:
| Card Type | Probability (Case 1) | Probability (Case 2) | Combined Average (per 20 boxes) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pokemon SAR | 30% (6 total) | 40% (8 total) | 7 per 20 boxes |
| Trainer SAR | 5% (1 total) | 0% (0 total) | 0.5 per 20 boxes |
| Trainer SR | 5% (1 total) | 5% (1 total) | 1 per 20 boxes |
The analysis suggests a typical case will yield 4-8 SARs, which translates to a pull rate of 20-40% for these cards. The data also highlights a lower probability for Trainer SARs and Trainer SRs, making them the semi-chase cards of the set.
The Mythical “God Pack”
The analysis confirms the existence of the legendary “God Pack,” a rare occurrence that contains an exceptional haul:
God Pack Content: 4 SAR + 4 MA
This finding will undoubtedly fuel the excitement for those hunting the ultimate pack.
Beyond the Pulls: Facts for the Savvy Collector
The data also included a few critical facts for serious collectors and those concerned with pack integrity:
- Weighable: Packs can be weighed, with a specific weight of 17.2g noted, suggesting a potential method for filtering.
- Sequenced and Filtered: The mention that packs can be “sequenced” and “filtered” is a crucial detail for the community, indicating that the distribution within a box or case may not be entirely random.
In conclusion, the M2a Mega Dream ex set offers a solid foundation of guaranteed hits, making it a fun set to open. However, the true value lies in the low-probability SARs and MUR, which will keep collectors chasing that perfect pull. Use this data to inform your next box opening!