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Cardian

Pull rates · English

Paldean Fates PAF

6-pack booster bundle · 10 cards a pack (no booster box) · 26 Jan 2024

Estimate · from 1,500 packs

Average box
S$44
Typical box
S$20

Half of boxes pull less than S$20. The average is S$44 because a few boxes hit a big card.

RarityOddsIn a boxCards
Shiny Rare1 in 4 packs82%120
Double Rare1 in 6 packs66%10
Shiny Ultra Rare1 in 13 packs38%12
Illustration Rare1 in 14 packs36%3
Ultra Rare1 in 15 packs34%5
Special Illustration Rare1 in 58 packs10%8
Hyper Rare1 in 62 packs9%6

The cards people chase

Mew ex
Mew ex
Special Illustration Rare · Pull it: 1 in 460 packs
Charizard ex
Charizard ex
Special Illustration Rare · Pull it: 1 in 460 packs
Gardevoir ex
Gardevoir ex
Special Illustration Rare · Pull it: 1 in 460 packs
Pikachu
Pikachu
Shiny Rare · Pull it: 1 in 480 packs
Snorlax
Snorlax
Shiny Rare · Pull it: 1 in 480 packs

How this is measured

Counted: from a large opening count. Estimate: from shop and collector counts, rounded. The chance of one exact card is the rarity's odds divided by how many cards share that rarity. Average box adds up, for each rarity, how many a box holds on average times the typical value of those cards. Commons, uncommons and rares are left out: they add almost nothing. Typical box is the middle of 10,000 simulated boxes: half pull more, half less. One big card lifts the average, but most boxes never hit it.

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